Analysis of the development of the market of passenger transportation in 2014-2034 years
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Analysis of the development of the market of passenger transportation in 2014-2034 years

Analysis of the development of the market of passenger transportation in 2014-2034 years

In Geneva, the International Air Transport Association (IATA) released a review of the prospects for the development of passenger transport in the coming years 20. The report indicated that the passenger flow to 2034 7.3 billion will make. People. The average increase during the period is equal to 4.1%, which will lead to a doubling of the flow of passengers compared with 3.3 billion. 2014 in the year (forecast).

The report placed the emphasis on the forecast that China will overtake the US by passenger traffic volume in 2030 year. In 2034 year in China for domestic and international flights will be carried around 1.3 billion. Passengers, compared to 856 million. 2014 in the year, with annual growth of 5.5%. In the US, annual growth of 3.2 2034% and, in absolute terms, reaches 1.2 billion. (Compared to 559 million. 2014 in the year).

Forecast of passenger traffic was compiled based on three main factors:
• prices for air tickets;
• population growth;
• standard of living and availability of air transport services.

Analysis of the development of the market of passenger transportation in 2014-2034 years 23

Trends in passenger traffic growth markets

By the year 2034 the top five fastest growing markets will include China (856 million. Passengers per year), the US (559 million.), India (266 million.), Indonesia (183 million.) And Brazil (170 million.).

Eight of the ten fastest growing markets in percentage terms in Africa including: the Central African Republic, Madagascar, Tanzania, Burundi and Kuwait.

Among the mill to maximize the transport of Kuwait, Thailand, United Arab Emirates, Ethiopia, Indonesia-East Timor.

Expansion of passenger traffic will increase the number of jobs to 58 million. Man to 105 million. Wealthy residents work. To grow the GDP of many countries 2.4 trillion. to 6 trillion. dollars.

The aviation industry will activate its activity in the field of environmental protection, carrying out a series of measures to reduce emissions of harmful substances. Since 2009 years actively operates three distinct areas:
• increasing the efficiency of aircraft engines annually by 1.5%;
• introduction of new technologies and increased use of fuel from bio-raw materials;
• the desire to reduce emissions of harmful gases on 50% from 2005 year to 2050 year.

Analysis of the development of the market of passenger transportation in 2014-2034 years 23

An analysis for the period of 10 2014-2034, the largest market of passenger transportation

Analysis of the most advanced and largest passenger traffic market is characterized by the following indicators:
• The United States will retain the status of the largest transportation market until 2030, when it reaches a total of all countries with 18.3 billion passengers;
• 9 is currently the largest market in India, and the UK market (148 million) will catch up in terms of traffic volume to become 3 in size in 2031 year;
• passenger traffic in Japan is growing at 1.3% per year, which ultimately results in a decrease in traffic volume and the country will move from 4 to 2014 to 9;
• Germany will move from 5 locations to 8, Spain from 6 locations to 7; among the largest markets in the world, France will move from 7 locations to 10, Italy will leave 10 locations to 10 of the largest passenger transportation markets in 2019;
• Brazil will increase passenger traffic and rise from 10 to 5 with passenger traffic to 270 million.

BERESNEV Ivan

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