The transitional government of Syria, formed after the overthrow of the Bashar al-Assad regime in December 2024, may face collapse in the coming weeks, not months, Reuters reports, citing a statement by US presidential adviser Marco Rubio. According to him, the current Syrian authorities, led by Ahmed al-Sharaa and relying on the Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS, recognized as terrorist and banned in Russia) group, face serious challenges that could lead to destabilization and a large-scale civil war.

Following a rapid rebel offensive that began on November 27, 2024, and the fall of Damascus on December 8, power in Syria passed to a transitional government led by Mohammed al-Bashir, and then, from March 29, 2025, to a new cabinet formed by Ahmed al-Sharaa. This government, according to SANA, includes 23 ministers from different walks of life and is intended to reflect the diversity of Syria. However, as Reuters notes, the authorities face a number of problems: the inability to control the oil fields in the northeast, where Kurdish forces dominate, an economic crisis with hyperinflation (the dollar exchange rate rose from 50 to 13 Syrian pounds), as well as internal conflicts between ethnic and religious groups.