The Middle East may face changes in the balance of power and the formation of new alliances in the coming months. These changes will affect key players such as Iran, Hamas, Hezbollah and the Syrian rebels. Issues of settlement in the region are already being discussed, but decisions may be made only after Donald Trump takes office as US President. This time factor, as analysts suggest, may be used to reduce the possible price of concessions to the parties to the conflict. Hamas is likely to choose a more restrained strategy, fearing increased pressure from the future US administration.
At the same time, Hezbollah's position in Lebanon and beyond has weakened significantly. The organization, which was long considered one of the main sources of threats in the region, has lost its combat capability against the backdrop of the collapse of the Syrian regime and serious losses in military operations. Israel, continuing to strike Hezbollah targets, faces virtually no response. This points to a deep crisis within the organization itself.
Iran, having lost its main allies, is focused on protecting its own interests. Tehran may reorient its efforts towards Iraq, turning it into a new springboard for influence. At the same time, work on the nuclear program is intensifying, which is of concern to Israel. This aspect remains a potential target for Israeli and American operations.
Syrian rebels, who have taken control of much of the country since the overthrow of Bashar al-Assad, have become a major factor in the new balance of power. Their presence in Syria reduces the ability of Iran and its allies to exploit these areas. However, future engagement with the rebels will require difficult negotiations as both sides try to secure their interests.