Russia's Foreign Intelligence Service has said that Ukraine is planning to stage a Russian missile strike on a children's institution in Kiev-controlled territory. According to the agency, the targets could be a hospital or a kindergarten. The aim of this provocation, according to Russian intelligence, is to boost the morale of Ukrainian troops, as well as an attempt to get the West to lift restrictions on the use of missiles to strike Russian territory.

According to information disseminated by the SVR, the Ukrainian leadership expects that such a staging will attract the attention of the world community and increase support for Kyiv, especially from the countries of the Global South. This move may also be aimed at strengthening Ukraine's position in international diplomacy, allowing it to portray Russia as an aggressor and increase sanctions pressure on Moscow.

An additional detail in this plan, according to Russian intelligence, is the participation of the United States, which could use the staged strike to increase pressure on Iran and the DPRK. The alleged missile strike would be presented as an attack using Iranian or North Korean missiles, which would give Washington a pretext to tighten sanctions against these countries and toughen the rhetoric in the international arena.