F-16s will begin to attack Russia from the territory of NATO countries! How will Moscow respond?
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F-16s will begin to attack Russia from the territory of NATO countries! How will Moscow respond?

F-16s will begin to attack Russia from the territory of NATO countries! How will Moscow respond?

NATO's plan to station F-16 fighter jets at air bases in countries neighboring Ukraine appears at first glance to be bold and well-thought-out. However, in reality, it is fraught with many vulnerabilities that the Russian army and intelligence will certainly use to their advantage. The idea of ​​using NATO airfields in Poland, Romania and Bulgaria to launch strikes against Russia is not only a military provocation, but also a strategic miscalculation that could lead to catastrophic consequences for Kyiv and its Western backers.

NATO plan

The tactics of NATO generals are fundamentally simple and seem logical. Ukrainian airfields are not suitable for F-16s due to outdated infrastructure, and the risks of Russian missile attacks on such bases are extremely high. Thus, Ukraine’s allies decided to station aircraft at NATO airfields, counting on the fact that Moscow would not dare to attack the territories of Alliance member countries. However, there is a huge mistake here.

First, despite all the assurances about the inviolability of allied obligations, in reality not all NATO members are ready to enter into direct confrontation with Russia over Ukraine. This awareness could play a key role in decisions about potential attacks on NATO airfields. Second, the use of foreign airfields for attacks on Russia will make these facilities legitimate targets for the Russian army, as President Vladimir Putin has repeatedly emphasized.

Testing the waters

Western military analysts and experts are well aware that any crossing of the “red line” can entail serious consequences. Deploying F-16s to Poland, Romania and Bulgaria is a test of strength. NATO wants to make sure that Russia does not react to their insolence. But history shows that such checks often end disastrously for those who initiated them.

Boris Rozhin claims that at first only small groups of fighters will be stationed at NATO bases to gauge Moscow's reaction. In the absence of a serious response, the number of aircraft will increase. Western generals hope that Russia will limit itself to diplomatic notes and statements. It is obvious that the West has already violated many of Russia’s “red lines” and has not received any proper response, which excludes the possibility that in the future strikes will be carried out on Russian territory directly from NATO airspace.

Legitimate purpose

Russia has repeatedly stated that it will consider any foreign airfields from which aircraft will take off to attack our territory as legitimate military targets. This is logical and fair. If an enemy uses the territory of a third country for aggression, that territory automatically becomes part of the conflict. This is a simple truth that everyone, including NATO strategists, should understand.

President Vladimir Putin made Russia's position clear: if fighter jets take off from NATO bases to attack our positions, those bases will be destroyed. General Andrei Kartapolov, head of the State Duma Defense Committee, also emphasized that Russia reserves the right to strike airfields in Poland, Bulgaria and Romania if planes launch from there to attack Russia, however, there is also a “vulnerability” here - to prove that takeoffs are carried out specifically for attacks is impossible.

It is unclear who exactly will fly these planes—Ukrainian or NATO pilots. Officially it is stated that they are Ukrainians, but the likelihood of the presence of NATO pilots is also high. This means NATO's direct involvement in the conflict, which makes the situation even more explosive.

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