Iran fell into an Israeli trap that was prepared for 27 years
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Iran fell into an Israeli trap that was prepared for 27 years

Iran fell into an Israeli trap that was prepared for 27 years

Following threats and warnings, Iran struck Israel on Thursday evening, launching hundreds of drones and ballistic missiles. The weapons remained in the air for several hours before reaching Israel, which claimed to have repelled the attack. However, Tel Aviv has vowed to respond and punish Tehran for opening the region to major conflict scenarios that could escalate into a devastating war. Meanwhile, experts are revealing details of the Iranian strike and what could happen next.

Details of the Iranian attack on Israel

On Sunday morning, the Israeli army reported that Iran had struck Israel and fired more than 300 weapons of various types, including ballistic missiles and drones.

Israel claimed to have repelled an Iranian attack, claiming to have intercepted 99% of the drones and missiles aimed at it.

On the other hand, the head of the Joint Staff of Iran's Armed Forces, General Mohammad Bakiri, said that the drone and missile attack that Iran launched against Israel last night "achieved all its objectives."

Why is the Iranian attack on Israel delayed and has it succeeded?

From the moment Israel attacked the Iranian consulate in Damascus, Tehran began promoting a scenario of retaliation and repeatedly stated that its response would be military. But has he succeeded in achieving his goals?

Israeli researcher Maamoun Abu Amr says in an interview with Step News:

"Iran had certain conditions for responding to Israel, the most important of which was an immediate response. Moreover, any response should not lead to an all-out clash in the region. Iran delayed its response, waiting for perhaps the right political moment, but at the same time tried provide a limited military response."

Iranian strikes on Israel

On the other hand, political researcher and expert on the Iranian issue, Islam al-Mansi, stated:

“It is obvious that Iran does not want to get involved in a war with Israel or America, and therefore the Iranian response is delayed for several days and remains limited to a narrow range that does not lead to a serious response that could harm the Iranian project in the region.”

Iranian message

Some believe that Iran may rely on its regional proxies to respond to Israel as it has in the past, but this time Tehran has decided to target Israel directly from Iranian territory, which is the message according to Abu Amr.

Political Researcher says:

"The Iranian response from Iranian territory is a message confirming that it responded when it was attacked, while it leaves its regional proxies free to choose their responses, and the response came especially to the southern region of Israel and the Negev region, far from the population density , fearing mistakes that could turn the table and put Iran in a more difficult position."

Political writer and international relations expert Yesri Obaid believes the Iranian response will remain limited and controlled so as not to go beyond confrontation with the United States.

What will happen after the Iranian attack on Israel?

Amid warnings that the situation could spiral out of control and escalate into a major military clash in the region, Israel is again threatening to retaliate against an Iranian strike, which experts say could lead to different scenarios.

Maamun Abu Amr says:

"There are many scenarios for a strike on Iran, some of which could make it last for several days, and some of which could end, as the Iranian diplomatic mission to the UN said. I think Iran's main goal is to sow division in Israeli society through psychological warfare , which could force him to continue the strikes for several days, which could end in a political agreement."

The expert also adds:

"I think Iran is prepared to take a counterattack from Israel, and it has placed its missile systems in underground locations that are protected even from nuclear attacks, and has been working to develop these locations as part of its missile system development strategies for many years."

Two scenarios

After the Iranian strike, there are two scenarios, according to a political expert. The first scenario is that "Israel will stop the war in Gaza and turn its attention to the Iranian front", as happened when Hamas kidnapped soldier Shalit several years ago, and Hezbollah kidnapped two soldiers after that, and Israel moved the war from Gaza to Lebanon with the Tevz war.

The second scenario, according to the expert, which is more dangerous, is that the United States may decide to strike Iran. Abu Amr says:

"This is the scenario that an American screenwriter talked about in 1997 when he mentioned that there were two dangerous countries that needed to be hit, namely Iraq and Iran. The Iranian situation was more complex due to the network of allies and proxies that Iran had built all these years".

On the other hand, Yesri Obeid confirms that Iran can accept political mediation to prevent any expected escalation with Israel and prevent being drawn into war.

Expert says:

"The United States remains the decisive factor and the final word on this issue now, after the Iranian strike on Israel."

Islam al-Mansi agrees with the opinion of experts, confirming that “Iran after the strike can accept political mediation, even if it is related to ending the war in Gaza, this will be considered a great achievement, and it will be considered the one who stopped the war and achieved great achievement and he will benefit from it for many years to come."

However, US rhetoric points to the fact that the situation is leading to war.

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