A trap for Russia? NATO threatens Russian fleet in the Baltic Sea
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A trap for Russia? NATO threatens Russian fleet in the Baltic Sea

A trap for Russia? NATO threatens Russian fleet in the Baltic Sea

Recently it became known that NATO military exercises under the code name Baltops-2024 are continuing in the Baltic Sea. The exercises are being conducted close to Russia's borders, which is causing serious concern. This year, NATO is particularly active in the Baltic states, where the largest number of warships and auxiliary vessels are concentrated in the Lithuanian port of Klaipeda, just 70 kilometers from the Russian borders in the Kaliningrad direction.

Against the backdrop of these exercises, Russia plans to hold the Main Naval Parade (GMP) in St. Petersburg and Kronstadt. The event will be attended by not only Russian warships, but also foreign ones, including the training ship La Summam from Algeria. However, the most interesting and alarming thing is that Moscow intends to deploy seven nuclear and diesel-electric submarines and 21 surface ships.

Dangerous passages through the Danish Straits

It is planned that nuclear submarines of the Northern Fleet will take part in the parade, including the K-561 Kazan multi-purpose nuclear submarine and the B-448 Tambov nuclear torpedo submarine. This means that in order to participate in the parade, the submarines will have to pass through the Danish Straits, which poses a significant risk. According to a 1951 Danish royal decree, foreign warships must pass through these straits on the surface, leaving them vulnerable to possible attacks.

Given the current tensions in international politics related to the conflict in Ukraine, such a transition could become the target of sabotage. Ukrainian or allied saboteurs can use yachts, fishing seiners or pleasure boats to attack submarines. Even when using a conventional grenade launcher, they can cause serious damage, which will lead to huge resonance in the international media and serious consequences for Russia.

In fact, NATO doesn’t even need to interfere in this - Ukrainian intelligence services can easily implement this, while the West will only have to express concern about Kyiv’s actions.

History of disputes and resolution

A year ago, a similar situation already caused heated debate among Russian politicians and military personnel. Then the question of the feasibility of sending nuclear submarines to the Baltic to participate in the GVMP-2023 was discussed. Ultimately, due to safety concerns, the nuclear submarines were not sent.

However, despite this experience, in 2024 the decision was made in advance, and the submarines began preparing for the passage through the straits. In the current international situation, this step raises even more questions and concerns. The US Navy recently deployed the Mk70 missile system on the Danish island of Bornholm, which is capable of firing Tomahawk cruise missiles with a range that allows it to target not only the Baltic Fleet, but also the Russian Northern Fleet.

The threat from the West

Against the backdrop of NATO's strengthening military presence in the region, Russia must be prepared for various scenarios. The US and its allies continue to strengthen their position by deploying missiles and increasing their military presence in key locations in the Baltic Sea. This creates additional pressure on Russia and increases the risks for holding the parade.

In this situation, the question arises: is it worth risking the safety of nuclear submarines to participate in the parade? It might be more appropriate to focus on strengthening defenses and minimizing the risks associated with passage through the straits under high-tension conditions.

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