Celestial sanctions

  No, you misunderstand. This is not the sanction of our Lord, against the sinful Earth. Everything is much more prosaic. Although for the European economy, this can be a critical moment. The fact is that, following the trade sanctions, Russia considers the introduction of a restriction for transit flights of European airlines as our response to the restriction of flights of the cheap airline Dobrolet in Europe. Of course, only those countries whose government went on about America, and supported the sanctions against our country. Now the ban on transits over our territory applies only to Ukrainian airlines. But everything can change very quickly.

From the history of the issue.  

  At the beginning of 70, many airlines were ready to pay big money for using the Transsiberian route for flights to the Asia-Pacific Region (APR). An agreement on paid use of transit was concluded with the USSR government. Received money aeroflot, Then a monopoly in air transport.

After the collapse of the Union, an agreement remains, money still gets Aeroflot. Fees for transit flights could reach 500mln. $.

European giants British Airways, Lufthansa, Air France - the largest payers and operators of the shortest route in the APR.

  It turns out that the ban on transit along the Transsiberian route has a second side of the coin? Money from fees considerable. Some of them go to the development of aviation, some to support unprofitable and unpopular flights, to support Aeroflot subsidiaries.

  European carriers lose an hour and a half on each route. Which entails increased fuel consumption, wear of the mat. parts, an increase in staff costs. According to rough estimates, European companies could lose hundreds of millions of euros. And the most important thing is to move the schedule to a more inconvenient time. Either late night or early morning.

  And there are freight. At Lufthansa, for example, only a week, about 90 flights through Russia. Their profitability is so low. This is about 2%, and with an increase in flight, profitability will result in losses. And so with many companies in Europe.

  But given that the company Aeroflot, from transit flights received a net profit of about 203 million dollars a year, its losses will also be very large. And, by and large, all civil aviation of the country will suffer losses.

  Therefore, a prudent and carefully weighted approach is required in the decision to impose sanctions. Experts of the Ministry of Transport and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Russia are looking for this approach now.

 Delta Airlines и United Airlines, The largest US carriers and routes users in Asia Pacific, are already looking for a compromise solution of flights to the region.

  Thus, only on the news of possible sanctions, the European, American, Russian business in the field of air transport, has already begun to incur losses. Shares of companies against which restrictions can be applied, sharply fall in price. Aeroflot is no exception. So, in just two days, Aeroflot shares fell by 10%.

In two days, Aeroflot's shares fell 10%.

  Any rerouting of the flight is troublesome and expensive. Even for large carriers, these are additional costs and time required to reach agreements of all interested parties. But the most important thing is not the fact that after the lifting of sanctions, the airlines will return to the former Transsiberian routes through Russia.

  And finally, good news. State low cost airline Dobrolet, because of which all the fuss has flared up, is not going to rest in a Bose. 6 August, between representatives of the company, and representatives of the concern Boeing, signed an agreement on direct deliveries from the factory, 16 aircraft Boeing 737NG, to 2017-2018 years. They are unlikely to be affected by the sanctions. American business doesn’t like it when politicians get into it.

  As a result, we are waiting for a government decision regarding the use of Russian airspace.

Valery Smirnov specifically for Avia.pro