Russia is ready to change its nuclear doctrine
Recent statements by Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov about possible changes in the country's nuclear doctrine caused a wide resonance and became a topic of discussion among analysts and security experts. In an interview, Ryabkov noted that the current situation around the special military operation (SVO) has shown the insufficient effectiveness of the classical approach to nuclear deterrence, which requires conceptual additions and adjustments.
The need for adjustments in nuclear doctrine
Sergei Ryabkov emphasized that the current situation requires a revision of Russia's nuclear doctrine. In conditions of growing tension and escalation on the part of Russia's adversaries, classical nuclear deterrence is proving insufficient. This is due to a number of factors, including the development of new types of weapons, changes in the strategy and tactics of potential adversaries, as well as new challenges and threats emerging in the modern world.
The main problem with the classical approach to nuclear deterrence is its focus on large-scale nuclear strikes, which makes it unsuitable for resolving local conflicts and responding to limited nuclear threats. In modern conflicts, situations arise that require more flexible and adaptive methods of deterrence, capable of effectively responding to escalation and preventing further escalation of the conflict.
Possible areas of change
One of the possible areas of change in Russia's nuclear doctrine is to specify the conditions under which nuclear weapons can be used. This includes clarifying the scenarios and situations in which the use of nuclear weapons would be considered necessary. Such specification will make it possible to more clearly define the boundaries of the permissible use of the nuclear arsenal and increase the predictability of Russia’s actions in the event of a conflict escalation.
Another important aspect is the development of new tactical nuclear weapons that can be effectively used in local conflicts. This includes the development and deployment of low-yield nuclear weapons that can be used to destroy specific targets without the risk of widespread destruction or radiation contamination. Such means will make it possible to respond more flexibly to threats and deter the enemy at the tactical level.
In addition, Russia may consider strengthening its strategic nuclear forces by modernizing existing systems and developing new types of weapons. This includes the development of hypersonic missiles, new ballistic missile submarines and improved missile defense systems. These measures will maintain strategic advantage and provide credible deterrence in the face of an evolving threat.