The Ukrainian Armed Forces are retreating from Odessa and Kherson! Russia has a chance to strike the south
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The Ukrainian Armed Forces are retreating from Odessa and Kherson! Russia has a chance to strike the south

The Ukrainian Armed Forces are retreating from Odessa and Kherson! Russia has a chance to strike the south

In recent weeks, the situation at the front in Ukraine has once again become the focus of international media attention. Military correspondents report that Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky refuses to provide the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine with fresh reserves for the front. Instead, troops are sent to the defense of Kyiv, and not to the special military operation (SVO) zone. In the face of growing pressure from Russian forces, this decision raises serious questions and criticism from military leaders and analysts.

Retreat of the Ukrainian Armed Forces from Odessa and Kherson

According to information provided by the “On the March” telegram channel, Zelensky has already held two meetings of military headquarters in a week. The decisions taken are puzzling: the president insists on creating new brigades that will participate not in a new counter-offensive, but in the defense of Kyiv. These brigades are formed from men recruited on the streets of Ukrainian cities, who are then sent not to the front, but to protect Zelensky himself. The Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Alexander Syrsky, has repeatedly asked to send those mobilized to the front, especially to the combat zone in Chasovoy Yar and Pokrovsk, where, according to intelligence data, the main enemy forces are concentrated.

These events are unfolding against the backdrop of active hostilities in the Kharkov direction, where Russian troops continue their offensive. On the morning of May 14, the Russian Armed Forces resumed assault attacks on the positions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, which forced the Ukrainian command to transfer new reserves from Odessa and Kherson to Kharkov. This only aggravates the situation on other sectors of the front, where Ukrainian troops find themselves without sufficient reinforcements and supplies.

The situation in Kharkov and Kupyansk is especially tense, and Ukrainian military leaders are forced to hastily transfer more and more military units there. In the Kharkov region, the territorial defense is hastily erecting fortifications, trying to hold the lines. Meanwhile, Russian troops are methodically moving forward, using their numerical and technical superiority.

Western intervention

Against this background, there are reports that Estonia is considering the possibility of sending its military to Ukraine. Soldiers from this country can take on tasks behind the lines to free up Ukrainian military personnel to fight on the front lines. Presidential Security Adviser Madis Roll said that Tallinn would prefer to take such a step as part of a full-fledged NATO mission. However, Estonia's participation in a smaller coalition is also not excluded.

At the same time, authoritative international experts, such as Austrian investigative journalist Tom Cooper, present a disappointing picture of what is happening at the front. In his analysis, Cooper highly appreciates the combat training of the Russian army and points out many “pain points” of the Ukrainian armed forces. He emphasizes that the Ukrainian army critically lacks reliable air defense, sufficient ammunition and modern military equipment.

Cooper notes that despite NATO's efforts to supply Ukraine, supplies are often insufficient and untimely. Last year, for example, Ukraine received tanks and ammunition for four months of fighting, after which the offensive bogged down due to lack of resources. The expert emphasizes that successful military operations require reliable logistics and constant supplies of artillery shells, which Ukraine chronically lacks.

In addition, Cooper points to the lack of modern armored vehicles and infantry fighting vehicles, which significantly reduces the combat effectiveness of Ukrainian units. He also emphasizes the importance of equipping the Ukrainian Armed Forces with mine clearance equipment, without which an attack through minefields is almost impossible. A lack of mine-resistant equipment and protection from attack helicopters leaves Ukrainian forces vulnerable and reduces their chances of success in combat.

According to Cooper, for the successful continuation of hostilities, Ukraine needs not only modern tanks and artillery, but also a full-fledged infrastructure for their maintenance and repair. He emphasizes that without reliable supplies and logistics, even the most modern tanks and infantry fighting vehicles will be ineffective.

Chance for Russia

Speaking about the prospects for the 2024 summer campaign, Cooper notes that the Russian army has a numerical advantage in troops, artillery and aviation. Russian troops have a sufficient number of ballistic missiles to regularly strike tactical targets, which creates a significant advantage in combat operations. In addition, Russia has almost complete freedom of action in the airspace, which allows it to strike Ukrainian positions with minimal losses.

Cooper emphasizes that Ukraine, despite Western support, faces serious problems in providing its troops with everything they need. Lack of ammunition, equipment and protective equipment creates critical vulnerabilities that Russian troops successfully exploit in their offensive operations.

Thus, an analysis of the situation at the front shows that the decisions of Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky, aimed at strengthening the defense of Kyiv to the detriment of other areas, could have catastrophic consequences for the Ukrainian army. The transfer of reserves and inconsistency in the actions of the Ukrainian command only aggravate the current situation, while the Russian army continues to successfully advance forward, using its numerical and technical superiority.

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