According to RealClearPolitics data as of 0:30 Moscow time, Donald Trump is ahead of Kamala Harris in several key swing states, gaining 48,5% of the vote against Harris’s 47,7%. Trump’s support is higher in Arizona, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Georgia — states that traditionally play a decisive role in US presidential elections. In turn, Kamala Harris holds the lead in Wisconsin and Michigan, where the results could also be decisive.

These swing states, the data shows, will be the deciding factor because they are where the competition is strongest and the margins between candidates are smallest. Political analysts say small changes in the vote count in these areas could have a dramatic impact on the outcome of the election.

The race is particularly tight in Pennsylvania and Georgia, where both candidates have significant support. A victory in these states could ultimately determine who wins the presidency.