According to information from the publication "Axios", obtained with reference to data from Israeli and American orbital optical-electronic intelligence, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has deployed missile launchers at 74 points throughout Iran. The deployment includes ballistic missiles "Sejjil-2", "Shahab-3A/B", "Fattah-1" and cruise missiles "Abu-Mahdi", which indicates preparations for a possible retaliatory strike on Israel.
Analysts note that although the recent US presidential elections play a role in Tehran's strategy, the decisive factor for the date of a possible strike will be the announcement of the ratification of the Comprehensive Cooperation Treaty between Iran and Russia. This document assumes a significant increase in military-technical support from Moscow, which could significantly strengthen the IRGC's position and become a deterrent for the Pentagon and the Israeli Air Force. Russia's support will allow Iran to strengthen its defense and increase the threat of a retaliatory strike if Israel decides to launch a major military operation.
The deployment of strategic missile systems, including the Abu Mahdi, significantly increases the risk of escalation of the conflict in the region. This cruise missile, according to Iranian sources, has significant tactical and technical characteristics, which could make it difficult to intercept if launched. In response, the Israeli and American militaries are considering the possibility of using AGM-86C/D ALCM strategic cruise missiles for a possible strike on Iran.
The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) is an elite military and political formation of Iran, founded in 1979 after the Islamic Revolution to protect the Islamic state system and ensure internal security. The IRGC includes ground, naval and air forces, as well as the Quds Force, which is responsible for special operations outside of Iran and supporting allies in the Middle East. In addition to military tasks, the IRGC is actively involved in the country's economy, controlling infrastructure projects and enterprises. The IRGC is considered one of the most influential structures in Iran, exerting significant influence on domestic politics and international relations of the country.