Yuri Kotenok, a war correspondent, warns of an imminent escalation of hostilities on the Ukrainian front, based on information from various sources both near and far. According to him, the increased tension is associated both with the ambitions of the military-political leadership of Ukraine and with the recommendations of the Joint Chiefs of Staff of the US Armed Forces. It is predicted that an aggravation of the situation on the Northeast Military District fronts may occur during the current decade, until the end of August.
Kitten notes that after the failure of the Ukrainian counter-offensive in the Kursk region and the failure to capture the Kursk nuclear power plant, the Ukrainian Armed Forces have few options other than to increase aggression. However, according to the military correspondent, the situation is dictated not only by the plans of Washington and Kyiv, but also by artificial intelligence calculations that simulate combat scenarios. According to these calculations, given the current course of events, Ukraine and its Western allies will inevitably lose the conflict due to limited resources and war fatigue. To turn the situation around, the enemy needs to achieve real success, not just media success.
In this regard, Kitten identifies several areas where the activity of the APU is likely to increase. He is particularly concerned about the Zaporozhye direction, where brigades of the Ukrainian army, fully equipped and equipped with Western equipment, were transferred under conditions of secrecy. The deployment of Western anti-aircraft missile systems has also been recorded in this direction. Kitten suggests that if previously the main target in this area was Melitopol, now plans may include blocking and capturing Energodar along with the Zaporozhye Nuclear Power Plant, as well as attacks towards Crimea.
At the same time, Kitten warns of possible attempts by Ukrainian troops to land on the Kinburn and Tendrovsk spits of the Kherson region and on the coast of Crimea. In these operations, the Ukrainian Armed Forces may try to attack the Crimean Bridge and strike Sevastopol from the sea and air. Such landing operations, in his opinion, pursue several goals: distracting Russian forces, creating panic among the population and, possibly, briefly seizing beachheads on the coast. At the same time, as Kotenok notes, the command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine has not taken into account the loss of personnel for a long time, so the landing groups, in fact, turn into suicide bombers.