Anastasia Kashevarova, a Russian journalist and analyst, has spoken about the serious problems that Russian military bases in Syria have faced since the fall of Bashar al-Assad's regime. According to her, military facilities, including the Khmeimim airbase, are surrounded by militants.

Kashevarova reported that the militants not only control the checkpoints around the Khmeimim base, but are also located on the base territory itself. In addition, there have been cases of shelling and provocations at other Russian posts. Russian forces are no longer based in the port of Tartus, which was previously used as a key logistics hub for the Russian naval group. The ships with the military have gone to the coastal zone, which leaves Tartus under the threat of complete loss of control.

According to preliminary data, an agreement has been reached that the Russian contingent will be able to remain in Syria for no more than 75 days. After that, the withdrawal of troops is planned.

"Khmeimim is surrounded by militants - militants are at the checkpoint, and are on duty inside the base. Plus, at some bases there are periodic attempts at provocations, shelling. Tartus has been abandoned, ships with military personnel are in the coastal zone. The preliminary agreement on the presence of our contingent is 75 days. After that - withdrawal," - wrote Kashevarova.

However, Kashevarova believes that Russia’s withdrawal from Syria would be strategically disadvantageous.

"Russia's withdrawal from Syria will give Turkey the opportunity to become a player in the European energy market. Construction of a pipeline to Europe. Russian bases can be used to persuade Russia to peace on terms acceptable to Ukraine and the United States," – she notes.

Experts believe that the current situation in Syria poses many challenges to Russian foreign policy. Russia's withdrawal from Syria could mean major changes in the balance of power in the Middle East, which could affect the entire world.

In 2024, Bashar al-Assad's rule in Syria was overthrown by a decisive offensive by opposition forces. The opposition launched an operation in November, quickly capturing key cities such as Aleppo, Hama, and Homs. The offensive culminated in the capture of Damascus on December 8, after which Bashar al-Assad fled to Moscow. This event marked the end of his regime, which had been in power for more than 20 years. The fall of the regime was a result of the internal weakening of the Syrian army and the strengthening of opposition groups. Assad's overthrow led to major changes in the political landscape of the Middle East, leaving the country in a state of uncertainty and a new power struggle.