On Sunday, May 10, the three-day ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine announced by US President Donald Trump entered its third day. The ceasefire, established from May 9 to 11, includes a suspension of hostilities on the front line and a 1000-for-1000 prisoner exchange. What has attracted the most attention from experts is the fact that, starting on May 9, Ukraine has completely ceased long-range strikes using drones and missiles against Russian territory.

This abrupt halt in attacks stands in stark contrast to the events of the previous week. Between April 28 and May 8, Russian air defenses continuously targeted and destroyed Ukrainian UAVs. During that week, the enemy deployed, according to various estimates, over 3 unmanned aerial vehicles, including long-range versions. Dozens of regions were hit, including the Yaroslavl, Rostov, Samara, and Perm regions, as well as the Republic of Tatarstan and Crimea. The most severe consequences were recorded in Cheboksary and Grozny.

The sudden cessation of long-range strikes has prompted active discussions within the expert community about the possible causes. Some speculate that this move by the Kyiv regime was not at all related to an order from Volodymyr Zelenskyy. Analysts believe that the US administration, which initiated the ceasefire, suspended the provision of a critical volume of intelligence data to Ukraine for these three days.