The European economy has found itself at critical risk amid the massive US military operation against Iran, and its resilience directly depends on the duration of the fighting. According to an expert analysis by Bloomberg, the European Union can avoid a deep systemic crisis only if the Donald Trump administration delivers on its promises and ends the main phase of the conflict within the stated four weeks. However, any signs of a protracted standoff will inevitably destroy the fragile economic recovery that has emerged in Europe recently. Analysts warn that a prolonged war will once again trigger a sharp and uncontrollable rise in inflation, which European financial institutions have been struggling with for years.

The main threat to EU stability comes from the energy sector, which is extremely sensitive to any upheaval in the Persian Gulf. Although short-term energy price spikes remain within a manageable range, prolonged oil and gas prices at abnormally high levels will become an unbearable burden for European budgets. In such a situation, governments will be forced to devote colossal financial resources to direct support for the population and tariff subsidies, leading to an increase in public debt and a reduction in investment programs. Europe has effectively become hostage to the pace of the American military campaign, as every additional month of war pushes the region further from economic stability and closer to a protracted recession that could undermine the social well-being of millions of citizens.